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Оптимальная форма правления для Украины: динамика

The optimal form of government for Ukraine: dynamics

Date posted: 29.03.2011 Print Full version

According to the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" in March 2011, 16% of respondents believe that the presidential form of government is the best for Ukraine, 30% support the presidential-parliamentary form of government, 21% - the parliamentary-presidential, 4% - the parliamentary, 4% - the dictatorship, and 25% - have not decided on the matter.

TENDENCIES:

  • Public support for the presidential form of government is gradually decreasing (replies of respondents in support of the presidential and the presidential-parliamentary forms of government), the peak of which was fixed in April last year. Thus, in October 2009 the presidential form of government was supported by 58% of respondents, in April 2010 – by 61%, in September 2010 – by 50% and in March 2011 – by 46%.
  • These tendencies are closely repeating the dynamics of changes of confidence in V. Yanukovych: in October 2009 - 41% of citizens had or rather had confidence in V. Yanukovych, in April 2010 - 55%, in September 2010 - 39%, and in March 2011 - 28%.
  • The growth of support for the parliamentary form of government has slowed (replies of respondents in support of the parliamentary-presidential and the parliamentary forms of government). Thus, in October 2009 the parliamentary form of government was supported by 22% of respondents, in April 2010 – by 20%, in September 2010 – by 28%, and in March 2011 – by 25%.
  • Instead, the number of citizens, who could not decide, which form of government is the best for the country, is increasing: in October 2009 - 15% of respondents, in April 2010 - 16%, in September 2010 - 18%, and in March 2011 - 25%.
  • The dictatorship, as the optimal form of government, is stably supported by about 4% of respondents.
  • Among the greatest supporters of strengthening of the presidential government are voters of the Party of Regions and Strong Ukraine; among the greatest supporters of strengthening of parliamentary powers are voters of Freedom, Batkivshchyna and Civil Position.
  • The most prominent increase of support for the strengthening of parliamentary powers is only recorded in the East of Ukraine, the strengthening of presidential powers  - in none of the regions, the increase of respondents who are undecided - in Donbas, in the South, in the Centre, in the North and in the West.

The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2,2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1,3. The period of completion: 4-14 of March 2011

The oblast’ distribution:

West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.

Other research: