According to the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating", if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine took place at the beginning of November 2011, 33% of respondents would definitely take part in them, 33% - would likely take part. The activity in presidential elections is somewhat higher: 35% of respondents would definitely take part in them, 33% - would likely take part. The most mobilized are voters of Batkivshchyna, the CPU and the Party of Regions.
RESULTS:
If elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine took place at the beginning of November 2011, 22% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for the Party of Regions, 19.9% - for Batkivshchyna, 9.8% - for the Front for Change, 5.4% - for the Communist Party, 4.7% - for V. Klitschko’s party UDAR, 3.3% - for Freedom.
Other 1.9% of voters would support Civil Position, 1.2% - People's Party, 1.1% - Our Ukraine. Other parties would be supported by 4.3% of the voters, 13.2% - would not support any of the parties ("against all"), 13.2% - have not decided on their choice.
Thus, if elections were held at the beginning of November and the passing barrier remained at the level of 3%, six parties would get into the Parliament: the Party of Regions, Batkivshchyna, Front for Change, the CPU, UDAR and Freedom. If the passing barrier were raised up to 4%, five parties would get into the Parliament, and if the passing barrier were raised up to 5% - only four parties.
If presidential elections in Ukraine were held at the beginning of November 2011, 20.1% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for V. Yanukovych, 19.3% - for Y. Tymoshenko, 11.1% - for A. Yatsenyuk, 5.5% - for V. Klitschko, 5.2% - for P. Symonenko, 2.8% - for O. Tiahnybok, 2.2% - for S. Tihipko, 2.6% - for A. Hrytsenko.
Other candidates were supported by almost 5% of respondents, 11.9% - did not support any of the candidates ("against all"), 14.3% - have not decided on their choice.
TENDENCIES:
All data are presented among respondents who intend to participate in elections.
The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2,2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1,3. The period of completion: 25 of October – 6 of November 2011
The oblast’ distribution:
West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.