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Мониторинг электоральных настроений украинцев (29 мая – 3 июня 2019 года)

Monitoring of electoral moods of Ukrainians (29 May – 3 June, 2019)

Date posted: 05.06.2019 Print Full version

•    According to the survey carried out by the Sociological Group “Rating” on May 29 - June 3, 2019, 34% of the respondents stated that Ukraine was heading in the right direction, 37% revealed an opposite opinion, and 29% have not decided on the issue. The dynamics of changes in the population moods continues to head in a positive direction. The residents of the Center and South, the youngest respondents, as well as “Sluha Narodu” and “Syla y Chest” voters demonstrate relatively more optimistic views on the state of things in the country. Instead, the supporters of the “European Solidarity” and “Opposition Platform – Za Zhyttya” are the most pessimistic on this issue.

•    The vast majority (88%) expects radical changes in the country. Only 4% support the stabilization of the situation in order not to make it worse, 5% stand for return to the past. The request for changes is relevant for the vast majority of the representatives of all age, regional, and electoral groups.

•    Half of the polled are satisfied with the activities of the newly elected President V.Zelensky, only 11%  share  the opposite opinion. At the same time, 39% have not yet been able to assess the performance of the newly elected Head of State. 16% of the respondents are satisfied with the activities of the former President P.Poroshenko, while more than 80% seem to be dissatisfied. The activities of the Head of the Government V.Hroysman is approved by 19%, and disapproved by 76%. Over 90% of the polled are not satisfied with the performance of the Verkhovna Rada.

•    The leader of the electoral sympathies among the political forces is “Sluha Narodu” party - 48.2% of those who intend to vote and have decided on the choice are ready to support it. “Opposition Platform – Za Zhyttya” (10.7%), “European Solidarity” (7.8%), Batkyvshchyna (6.9%), and “Holos” (5.6% ) also overcome the electoral barrier. 4.3% are ready to support “Syla y Chest” party, 3.0%  - “Civic Position”, 2.4% - Radical Party. The rating of other political forces is less than 2%.

•    Anti-rating of the parties is headed by the “European Solidarity”. 52% of the voters would not vote for it under any circumstances.

•    47% of the polled said that the key reason for the political force choice during the voting would be the party's ability to bring changes in the country. 30% mentioned they would vote based on the political force ability to maintain order in the country. Every fifth is motivated by the fact that the political force represents many new faces, or its representatives are able to fight corruption. For 14-15%, the key reasons are that the party stands for social justice and has a strong leader.

•    Support for the pro-Western vector remains dominating: 62% support Ukraine's integration to the European Union (22% against), 53% support joining the NATO (31% against). When choosing several vectors of economic integration, 57% stand for the EU integration, while 24% - for equidistance from Russia and the West, and 10% - for joining the Customs Union. Support for the European and Euro-Atlantic integration is significantly dominant in the Central and Western regions, among the voters of the “European Solidarity”, “Holos”, and Civic Position parties.

•    Two-thirds of the respondents believe the Ukrainian language should be the only state language. 21% favor granting the Russian with the state status, 11% support its official status. The highest number of those who stand for any status of the Russian language was recorded among the residents of the East, those who speak it constantly, and "Opposition Platform – Za Zhyttya" voters.

•    65% believe Russia to be an aggressor against Ukraine. 27% share the opposite opinion. At the same time, more than 60% stand for diplomatic ways of resolving the war in the Donbas (38% - for termination of the hostilities and freezing of the conflict, 22% - for granting these territories with an independent or federative status as part of Ukraine). Only 5% support full separation of occupied territories. On the other hand, 18% favor continuation of hostilities until the full restoration of Ukrainian authorities throughout the Donbas.

Audience: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, region, and settlement type. Total sample: 2000 respondents. Personal formalized interview (face-to-face). The margin of error does not exceed 2.2%. Period of the survey: 29 May – 3 June, 2019.

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