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Рейтинги партий на выборах Верховной Рады: февраль 2013

Ratings of parties in parliamentary elections: February 2013

Date posted: 05.03.2013 Print Full version

According to results of the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in the end of February 2013, about two thirds of the voters would participate in them.

The highest level of mobilization is recorded in the West, the lowest - in Donbas and in the South of the country, where only about a half of the voters confirmed their participation in elections.

RESULTS:

If elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in the end of February 2013, the Party of Regions would win. Thus, 24.9% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for the Party of Regions, 19.3% - for Batkivshchyna, 18.1% - for UDAR, 11.9% - for Freedom, 8, 7% - for the Communist Party. Another 1.2% of voters would support the Party of Natalia Korolevska "Ukraine – Forward!", less than 1% - the Radical Party of Oleh Lyashko and "Our Ukraine". The rest of the parties - 2.7%, undecided - 11.8%.

For correct comparison of parties’ ratings with results of the elections, the redistribution of "undecided" was held.

The results are: if elections to the Verkhovna Rada of Ukraine occurred in the end of February 2013, 28.2% of the voters would vote for the Party of Regions, 22% - for Batkivshchyna, 20.4% - for UDAR, 13.5% - for Freedom, 10% - for the CPU. Other parties - about 6%.

Thus, as compared to results of the parliamentary elections such tendencies are observed:

  • The overall support of opposition parties (Batkivshchyna, UDAR and Freedom) has increased from 50 to 56%, while the overall support of parties, which form the majority in the parliament (the Party of Regions and the Communist Party) has decreased from 43 to 38%.
  • «New» parliamentary parties (UDAR and Freedom) have gained more support, "old" (Batkivshchyna, the Party of Regions and the Communist Party) have lost support.
  • The Party of Regions is the sole leader of sympathies of voters in Donbas, in the South and in the East of the country. In turn, Batkivshchyna in the West shares the first place with Freedom and UDAR, in the Centre and in the North - with UDAR.
  • Young people continue to support UDAR, the CPU is supported by elderly people. Freedom and UDAR have the most educated electorate, the CPU - the least educated. Also, in the electorate of Freedom and UDAR there are mostly workers, and in the electorate of the Communist Party there are predominantly pensioneers.
  • Batkivshchyna receives more support in the villages, the Party of Regions and the Communist Party - in the cities.
  • Just like in elections, UDAR and Freedom are more supported by men, Batkivshchyna, the Party of Regions and the Communist Party – by women.

 
Voters of Freedom and Batkivshchyna are predominantly Ukrainian-speaking. Interestingly, over the past six months, the share of Ukrainian-speaking people in the electorate of Freedom has decreased from 75 to 68%, while the number of those who speak both languages or Russian has increased. In the structure of the CPU and the Party of Regions more than one half speak Russian, a quarter speaks both languages, a quarter speaks Ukrainian. Interestingly, among voters of UDAR a half speaks Ukrainian at home, a half speaks Russian or both languages. Among "undecided" there are more Russian-speaking people, which is logical, since the majority of "undecided" are in the South, in the East and in Donbas.

 The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2.8%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2.6%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1.7%. The period of completion: 22-28 of February 2013


The oblast’ distribution:
West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka

Other research: