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Рейтинги политиков на выборах Президента:  март 2012

Ratings of politicians in presidential elections: March 2012

Date posted: 03.04.2012 Print Full version

According to the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" if presidential elections in Ukraine occured in March 2012, 45% of respondents would definitely participate in them, other 32% would likely participate.

If elections of the President of Ukraine occured in March 2012, 21.7% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for V. Yanukovych, 19.8% - for Y. Tymoshenko, 10.8% - for A. Yatsenyuk, 7.9% - for V. Klychko, 6.2% - for P. Symonenko, 3.8% - for S. Tihipko, 3.6% - for O.Tiahnybok, 3.1% - for A. Hrytsenko, 1.4% - for N.Korolevska, 1.3% - for V. Lytvyn, 0.7% - for V. Yushchenko. Other candidates are supported by 3.4%, 3.8% would not support any of the candidates, 12.5% - are undecided.
 
TENDENCIES:
 
    As compared to February, the number of "undecided" has decreased (from 14.1 to 12.5%​​) as well as the number of "against all" (from 6 to 3.8%).
    Unlike Y. Tymoshenko, whose rating has hardly changed (19.4% - in February against 19.9% ​​- in March), V. Yanukovych’s rating has increased (from 19.7 to 21.7%), thus allowing the latter to increase the gap from the leader of Batkivshchyna to nearly 2%.
    Also, A.Yatsenyuk’s rating has decreased (from 12.8 to 10.8%), repeating the dynamics of ratings of the Front for Change; V. Klychko’s rating has increased (from 6.5 to 7.9%).
    Positions of P. Symonenko, O.Tiahnybok, A. Hrytsenko and N.Korolevska have slightly improved.
    Despite the fact that V. Yanukovych is currently the leader of "the rating of the first round", in a conventional confrontation of "the second round" the current Head of State is won over by Y. Tymoshenko as well as by A. Yatsenyuk and V. Klychko. Thus, over the last six months the gap in favor of opposition candidates has increased. Like six months ago, A. Yatsenyuk paired with V. Yanukovych shows the largest break through (despite the fact that his personal rating of "the first round" yields both to V. Yanukovych and Y. Tymoshenko). 
 
YANUKOVYCH versus TYMOSHENKO
 
According to the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating", if presidential elections in Ukraine occured in March 2012 and V. Yanukovych and Y. Tymoshenko passed to the second round, 30% of respondents (among those who intend to participate in elections) would support the current President of Ukraine, 36.6% - the ex-premier, 23.7% - would not support any of the candidates and 9.8% - are undecided as to their choice.
 
We want to remind that in the last presidential elections V. Yanukovych won over Y. Tymoshenko in the second round (49 versus 45%).
 
V. Yanukovych is mostly supported in the South (52%) and in Donbas (44%), somewhat less in the East (41%). However, Y. Tymoshenko – in the West (68%), in the Center (41%) and in the North (46%). Among other possible candidates supporters of S. Tihipko (33%) and P. Symonenko (29%) are ready to support V. Yanukovych in opposition to Y. Tymoshenko.
 
Supporters of A. Yatsenyuk (54%), O.Tiahnybok (51%), V. Klychko (40%) and A. Hrytsenko (36%) are ready to support the leader of Batkivshchyna. It should be noted that over the last six months Y. Tymoshenko has increased her support among supporters of A. Yatsenyuk, O.Tiahnybok, V. Klychko, which ensured the growth of her "rating of the second round" from 31 to 37%.
 
YANUKOVYCH versus YATSENYUK
 
If presidential elections in Ukraine occured in March 2012 and V. Yanukovych and A. Yatsenyuk passed to the second round, 29% of respondents would support the current President of Ukraine, 38.1% - the leader of the Front for Change, 21.5% - would not support any of the candidates and 11.4% - are undecided as to their choice.
 
Over the last six months A. Yatsenyuk increased his "rating of the second round" from 35 to 37%, in the first place because of growing support among supporters of O.Tiahnybok, Y. Tymoshenko and V. Klychko.
 
V. Yanukovych in opposition to A. Yatsenyuk is mostly supported in the South (51%), in Donbas (44%), and in the East (40%). However, A.Yatsenyuk is supported in the West (69%), in the North (48%) and in the Center (37%). Among other politicians, supporters of  S. Tihipko (36%) are ready to support V. Yanukovych most of all (yet this support has decreased significantly), as well as supporters of P. Symonenko (29%). 
 
YANUKOVYCH versus TIAHNYBOK
 
If presidential elections in Ukraine occured in March 2012 and V. Yanukovych and O. Tiahnybok passed to the second round, 31.2% of respondents would support the current President of Ukraine, 24.4% - the leader of Freedom, 31.5% - would not support any of the candidates and 12.9% - are undecided as to their choice.
 
Over the last six months O.Tiahnybok’s "rating of the second round" has increased from 17 to 24%. The growth is recorded, in the first place, in the West (up to 61%) and in the North (up to 32%). We can assume that the growth of support for O.Tiahnybok results a/o from integration processes in the opposition, because over six months the support for the leader of Freedom in the second round has increased from 30 to 48% among supporters of Batkivshchyna and from 26 to 44% - among supporters of the Front for Change.
 
V. Yanukovych has the highest "rating of the second round" in the opposition with O. Tiahnybok. In the South (53%), in Donbas (47%) and in the East (41%) people are the readiest to support the current Head of State. The pair V. Yanukovych versus O. Tiahnybok has the worst attitude in  the Center - almost one half is against both candidates. Also, at least one third of the voters in the South, in Donbas, in the East and in the North are against both candidates. 
 
YANUKOVYCH versus KLYCHKO
 
If presidential elections in Ukraine occured in March 2012 and V. Yanukovych and V. Klychko passed to the second round, 28.1% of respondents would support the current President of Ukraine, 36.6% - the leader of the party UDAR, 21.4% - would not support any of the candidates and 13.9% - are undecided as to their choice. 
 
Over the last six months V. Klychko’s "rating of the second round" has increased from 28 to 37%. In the first plce it was because of his growing support among supporters of O.Tiahnybok, Y. Tymoshenko and A.Yatsenyuk.
 
V. Yanukovych is mostly supported in the South (47%), in Donbas (44%) and in the East (38%). However, V. Klychko – in the West (66%), in the North (54%), in the Center (57%) and in the East (23%).
 
Among other politicians, supporters of S. Tihipko (35%) and P. Symonenko (27%) are the most ready to support V. Yanukovych. Supporters of O.Tiahnybok (64%), Y. Tymoshenko (62%), A. Yatsenyuk (58%) and A. Hrytsenko (46%) as well as a quarter of "undecided" are ready to support V. Klychko.
 
 
The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2.2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1.3. The period of completion: 15-26 of March 2012
 
The oblast’ distribution:
 
West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.

Other research: