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Оценка ситуации в Украине (8-9 марта 2022)

Assessment of the situation in Ukraine (March 8-9, 2022)

Date posted: 10.03.2022 Print Full version

According to the survey conducted by the Sociological Group "Rating" on March 8-9, 91% of the respondents feel hope when thinking about the situation in Ukraine. Only 6% feel hopeless. The highest level of hope was recorded in all the regions. 

57% of the respondents believe that Ukraine will be able to win the war with Russia over the coming weeks: 18% think that we will win in a week, while 39%, in a few weeks. 18% of the respondents believe that the war will last several months, and only 9% think that the war will end in six months or more. There are almost none of those who do not believe in Ukraine’s victory at all. 16% could not answer this question. The residents of the Western region are the most optimistic. Still, in other oblasts, the majority also believe that the war will not last long.
92% of the respondents believe that Ukraine will be able to repel Russia's attack. This share is increasing almost on a daily basis. Today, only 6% do not have such confidence. The belief in Ukraine’s victory prevails in all the regions of the country.
More than 80% answered that they are helping in the defense of Ukraine in some way. In particular, now 39% of the respondents are helping people and the army as volunteers, 37% help financially. Also, 18% participate in the informational resistance, and 12% continue to work in the critical infrastructure. 10% of Ukrainians said they participate in the territorial defense. Only 19% said they are not able to help the country now. More often, it's elderly people. However, even among the elderly people, most are involved in the resistance at the moment.
The vast majority (97%) of respondents plan to stay in Ukraine in the nearest future.
63% support the idea of severing ties between the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of Moscow Patriarchate and the Russian Orthodox Church. Only 10% do not support this idea. Another 18% said they did not care, and 9% could not answer. Among the members of the Ukrainian Orthodox Church of Moscow Patriarchate, more than half also support severing ties with the Russian Orthodox Church, a quarter say they are indifferent and only 13% oppose the severance.
40% of Ukrainians believe that most Russians support the war against Ukraine. A quarter of the respondents believe that every second person in Russia supports the war, and a quarter think that supporters of the war are in the minority there.
42% believe that there can be no discussion of ever restoring friendly relations between Ukrainians and Russians. 22% think that it is possible in 20-30 years after the war, 18%, that it is possible in 10-15 years, and only 12% believe that the restoration of friendship is possible in a couple of years after the war. Residents of the South and the East and those who have relatives in Russia believe in the restoration of those relations a little more. But even among them, more than a third do not believe in the return of friendship between the two nations.
Audience: the population of Ukraine aged 18 and older in all oblasts, except for the temporarily occupied territories of the Crimea and Donbas. The sample is representative by age, sex and type of settlement. Sample population: 1200 respondents. Survey method: CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviews). Error of representativeness of the study with a confidence level of 0.95: not more than 2.8%. Dates: March 8-9, 2022.

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