Ratings of politicians in presidential elections: May 2012

According to the research conducted by the Sociological group "Rating" if presidential elections in Ukraine occurred in early May 2012, only 35% of respondents would definitely participate in them, other 38% would likely participate.

If presidential elections in Ukraine occurred in early May 2012, 21.9% of respondents (among those who would participate in elections) would vote for V. Yanukovych, 16% - for Y. Tymoshenko, 9.6% - for A. Yatsenyuk, 8.8% - for V. Klychko, 6.9% - for P. Symonenko, 4.1% - for N. Korolevska, 3.6% - for O. Tiahnybok, 2.7% - for A. Hrytsenko, 2.5% - for S. Tihipko, 0.8% - for V. Lytvyn. Other candidates would be supported by 2.7%, 3.7% - would not support any of the candidates, 16.8% - are undecided.

TENDENCIES:

Compared to March the readiness of citizens to participate in elections has decreased. In particular, the number of respondents who would definitely participate in presidential elections has decreased from 45% to 35%.
Over the last two months, Y. Tymoshenko’s rating has decreased the most significantly (from 19.8 to 16%), followed by increasing support for N. Korolevska (from 1.4 to 4.1%). The latter left behind S. Tihipko, O. Tiahnybok and A. Hrytsenko in the rating.
A slight decrease of A.Yatsenyuk’s indices was accompanied by a similar increase of V. Klychko’s ratings.
V. Yanukovych’s rating has hardly changed over the past few months, yet compared to last December it has slightly increased (from 18.9 to 21.9%). Against the background of the decrease in indices of the leader of Batkivshchyna, the gap between Y. Tymoshenko and V.  Yanukovych has increased in favor of the latter.
O.Tiahnybok demonstrates stable positions; his rating is traditionally slightly lower than the rating of Freedom. P.Symonenko also has stable indices, which yield to the rating of the Communist Party as well.
 
The target audience of the research: the population of Ukraine aged from 18 and older. Optional quantity: 2000 respondents. The methods of investigation: personal formalized interview according to the questionnaire (face to face). Measure of inaccuracy for the values close to 50% is less than 2.2%, for the values close to 30% – less than 2%, for the values close to 10% – less than 1.3. The period of completion: 5-14 of May 2012

The oblast’ distribution:

West: Volyns’ka, Transcarpathia, Ivano–Frankivs’ka, L’vivs’ka, Rivnens’ka, Ternopil’s’ka, Chernivets’ka.
Centre: Vinnyts’ka, Kirovograds’ka, Poltavs’ka, Khmel’nyts’ka, Cherkas’ka.
North: Kyiv, Kyivs’ka, Zhytomyrs’ka, Sums’ka, Chernihivs’ka.
South: AR Crimea, Odes’ka, Khersons’ka, Mykolaivs’ka, Sevastopol
East: Dnipropetrovs’ka, Zaporiz’ka, Kharkivs’ka.
Donbass: Donets’ka, Luhans’ka.