Economic and political situation in Ukraine through the eyes of citizens

According to 65% of the respondents, the main reasons for the current socio-economic situation in the country are corruption and incompetence of the current government. 54% believe the main reason for that to be the military conflict in the East, 31% - the failure of the Parliament to adopt laws needed for the country, 28% - incompetence and corruption of the previous Ukrainian government. Moreover, while in the West of the country the main reasons are considered to be the military conflict in the East and incompetence and corruption of the previous government, in the South and East among such reasons are mentioned incompetence and corruption within the current government, failure of the Verkhovna Rada to adopt the necessary laws, lack of political compromise between the opposition and the authorities, conduction of the special operations by external forces in order to let Ukraine loose in the economic competition, and low public support for reforms.

 

85% of the respondents agree with the thesis that Ukraine today is in a state of chaos (10% - disagree, 4% - undecided), in a state of collapse - 75% agree (17% - disagree, 7% - undecided), changes - 44% agree (50% - disagree, 7% - undecided), development - 21% agree (71% - disagree, 8% - undecided), consolidation - 17% agree (58% - disagree, a quarter - undecided). 

 

A half of the polled (52%) supports the idea of dissolving the Parliament and calling new parliamentary elections and pre-term presidential elections, almost 40% - do not support this idea, every tenth - has not decided on the answer.

 

If the parliamentary elections were held in the nearest future, 13.2% of those who intend to vote and have decided on their choice of the party are ready to vote for Batkivshchyna. 11.3% are ready to vote for  BPP Solidarnist, 10.4% - for Opposition Bloc, 8.9% - Radical Party, Za Zhyttia - 8.2%. 7.6% of the respondents are ready to support Civic Position, 7.1% - Samopomich, 6.4% - Svoboda. UKROP, Agrarian Party, and People’s Control - 2.3% each, Movement of New Forces - 2.2%. The rating of other political forces is less than 2%.

 

If the currently supported party would not participate in the elections, 5.5% of those who intend to vote would choose Batkivshchyna, 3.8% - Samopomich, 3.7% each - Radical Party and Svoboda, 3.5% - Civic Position, 3.3% - Za Zhyttia, 3.1% each - Opposition Bloc and BPP Solidarnist, 2.1% - Vidrodzhennia. 7.6% of the respondents would not vote in such case, 45% - undecided. 28.6% of those who intend to vote would not vote under any circumstances for BPP Solidarnist, 15.5% - for Opposition Bloc, 7.3% - Radical Party, 6.5% - Batkivshchyna, 4% - Narodnyi Front, 3.8% - Svoboda, 3.1% - Nova Derzhava (P.Symonenko).

 

If presidential elections in Ukraine were held next Sunday, 15.2% of those who intend to participate in the elections and have decided on their preferences would vote for Yulia Tymoshenko. 11.6% would vote for P.Poroshenko, 8.5% each – for O.Lyashko and Y.Boyko, 7.8% - V.Rabinovych, 7.2% - A.Hrytsenko, 6.6% -  A.Sadoviy, 3.9% - O.Tyahnybok, 3.8% - S.Vakarchuk, 2.5% - D.Yarosh, 2.4% - V.Hroysman. The rating of other candidates is less than 2%.

 

Simulation of the second round of presidential elections in Ukraine provided the following results: within the pair P.Poroshenko and Y.Tymoshenko 24% support the current Head of the State, 32% - the leader of Batkivshchyna, 30% - would not vote under such circumstances, 14% - undecided.

 

Upon achieving the second round by P.Poroshenko and O.Lyashko, 27% would support the current President, 23% - the leader of Radical Party. Along with that, 17% have not decided on their choice and one-third expressed reluctance to participate in the elections.

 

In the case of achieving the second round by P.Poroshenko and Y.Boyko, 28% would support the current President, 26% - the leader of Opposition Bloc. 17% have not decided on their choice, 29% would not participate in the elections in such case.

 

Within the pair Y.Tymoshenko and A.Sadoviy, 31% would support the leader of Batkivshchyna, 23% - the leader of Samopomich. One-third would not vote, 14% - undecided.

 

Upon achieving the second round by Y.Tymoshenko and O.Lyashko, 33% would vote for the leader of Batkivshchyna, 21% - for the leader of Radical Party. One-third would not vote, 13% - undecided.

 

Within the pair Y.Tymoshenko-Y.Boyko, 36% of the polled would vote for Y.Tymoshenko, 28% - for Y.Boyko. 22% would not participate in the elections, 14% - undecided.

 

In the case of achieving the second round by A.Sadoviy and P.Poroshenko, 23% would support the current President, 26% - the leader of Samopomich. Along with that, 18% have not decided on their choice and one-third expressed reluctance to participate in the elections.

 

Within the pair V.Rabinovych-P.Poroshenko, 28% of the polled would support for the current President, 24% - V.Rabinovych. One-third would not participate in the elections, 16% - undecided.

 

Upon achieving the second round by V.Rabinovych and Y.Tymoshenko, 33% would vote for the leader of Batkivshchyna, 23% - for the leader of Za Zhyttia, 30% would not vote, 14% - undecided. 

 

13% of the polled believe Y.Tymoshenko to be a politician who is able to lead the country out of economic crisis, 9% think the same of V.Rabinovych, 8% - O.Lyashko, 7% - P.Poroshenko, 5% each -A.Hrytsenko and Y.Boyko, 4% - A.Sadoviy, 2% - O.Tyahnybok. One-third stated that none of them is able to lead the country out of the crisis, 14% - undecided.

 

P.Poroshenko and Y.Tymoshenko are considered to be able to stop the war in Donbas by 8% of the polled each, 7% - V.Rabinovych, 6% each - A.Hrytsenko and O.Lyashko, 5% - Y.Boyko, 2% each - A.Sadoviy and O.Tyahnybok, 38% - none of the politicians, 19% - undecided.

 

Every tenth respondent believes Y.Tymoshenko to be a politician able to unite the country, 8% - think the same of P.Poroshenko, 7% each - V.Rabinovych and O.Lyashko, 5% - A.Hrytsenko, 4% - Y.Boyko, 3% -A.Sadoviy, 2% - O.Tyahnybok. One-third said that none of them is able to unite the country, 19% - undecided.

 

70% of the polled believe that the situation now prevailing in Ukraine could lead to massive nationwide protests (such as in 2004 or 2013), 21% - do not believe that, every tenth - undecided on the answer.

 

47% do not personally support the immediate organization of nationwide protests, 41% - support, 12% - undecided.

 

Almost 40% would personally take part in such protests if they started in the nearest future, a half of the polled - would not take part, every tenth - undecided. The most likely to participate in the protests are the citizens of the West, voters of Samopomich, Radical Party, and Za Zhyttia.

 

If a referendum on canceling the ban on the sale of agricultural land was held today, almost 75% would vote against the sale of such land, 20% - would vote for the sale, 7% - would not vote or have not decided on the answer.

 

If the sale of agricultural land would be allowed in Ukraine, 40% could go out to protest, a half of the respondents – would not, every tenth - undecided.

 

 

Respondents: residents of Ukraine aged 18 and older. The sample is representative in terms of age, gender, region, and place of residence. Total sample: 2000 respondents. Personal formalized interview (face-to-face). The margin of error does not exceed 2,2%. Period of the survey: 19-25 May 2017